Update: 6:40pm Eastern Time

Solar Notes: I have no confidence in these sunspots – decay continues.

Earthquake Watch Score: 7. Coronal hole power is moderate. I think we can call the last 48 hours a mid-watch lull, which has become a usual occurrence during the upticks. It appears the fields won’t be open long, but it will be a direct opening.

Volcano Pic: http://news.sky.com/story/1176607/volcano-sends-pillar-of-fire-1000m-into-sky